Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.001445 0.001616 0.001789 0.001977 0.002173 0.002373 0.002591
2025-01-05 0.001201 0.001448 0.001707 0.001995 0.002306 0.002629 0.002989
2025-01-12 0.001022 0.001327 0.001656 0.002033 0.002449 0.002890 0.003389
2025-01-19 0.000812 0.001150 0.001529 0.001975 0.002478 0.003022 0.003646
2025-01-26 0.000663 0.001027 0.001449 0.001961 0.002549 0.003194 0.003945
2025-02-02 0.000538 0.000918 0.001377 0.001946 0.002613 0.003356 0.004229
2025-02-09 0.000482 0.000889 0.001394 0.002033 0.002792 0.003645 0.004655
2025-02-16 0.000398 0.000813 0.001348 0.002040 0.002874 0.003821 0.004953
2025-02-23 0.000296 0.000698 0.001243 0.001967 0.002857 0.003880 0.005114
2025-03-02 0.000215 0.000600 0.001151 0.001904 0.002846 0.003942 0.005275
2025-03-09 0.000152 0.000517 0.001072 0.001852 0.002845 0.004011 0.005442
2025-03-16 0.000107 0.000456 0.001017 0.001827 0.002872 0.004113 0.005645
2025-03-23 0.000069 0.000403 0.000985 0.001851 0.002988 0.004351 0.006047
2025-03-30 0.000040 0.000358 0.000960 0.001884 0.003118 0.004612 0.006483
2025-04-06 0.000021 0.000321 0.000946 0.001932 0.003269 0.004900 0.006955
2025-04-13 0.000003 0.000252 0.000866 0.001883 0.003291 0.005031 0.007241
2025-04-20 NaN 0.000205 0.000817 0.001874 0.003363 0.005224 0.007600
2025-04-27 NaN 0.000164 0.000770 0.001863 0.003431 0.005409 0.007951
2025-05-04 NaN 0.000155 0.000788 0.001951 0.003632 0.005761 0.008504
2025-05-11 NaN 0.000126 0.000756 0.001959 0.003724 0.005975 0.008890
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000084 0.000680 0.001889 0.003704 0.006046 0.009100
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000053 0.000612 0.001828 0.003693 0.006126 0.009318
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000030 0.000555 0.001777 0.003694 0.006218 0.009550